Rate Lock Advisory

Tuesday, December 30th

Tuesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory, erasing yesterday’s gains. Stocks are also showing early losses with the Dow down 107 points and the Nasdaq down 34 points. The bond market is currently down 8/32 (4.13%), which should cause a slight increase in this morning’s mortgage pricing.

8/32


Bonds


30 yr - 4.13%

107


Dow


48,354

34


NASDAQ


23,439

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Low


Neutral


None

There again is no relevant economic data for the markets to digest today. We can expect to see some movement in bond prices throughout the day, but likely not a change in rates.

Medium


Unknown


FOMC Meeting Minutes

We will get the minutes from the December 9-10th FOMC meeting this afternoon. Traders use these for insight into the Fed’s thought process and to help predict future monetary policy moves. We will learn in more detail what the Fed feels about inflation and the employment sector and why each member voted the way they did. It is one of those reports that may cause volatility in the markets or be a non-factor, depending on what they show. However, the last FOMC meeting was followed by revised Fed predictions and dot plot, so the possibility of seeing something unexpected is somewhat minimal. The 2:00 PM ET release means if there is a reaction, it won’t come until mid-afternoon hours.

Medium


Unknown


Weekly Unemployment Claims (every Thursday)

Tomorrow brings us last week’s unemployment figures at 8:30 AM ET. They are expected to show 218,000 new claims for jobless benefits were made. This would be an increase from the previous week’s 214,000, signaling the employment sector weakened a bit last week. Favorable news for mortgage pricing would be a higher than predicted number of initial filings. We don’t usually put too much weight into this weekly update, but the lack of other relevant data this week could cause a stronger than normal reaction to a surprise in it.

Low


Unknown


Holiday Schedule

Also worth noting is tomorrow’s early close in the bond market. Bonds will trade until 2:00 PM ET tomorrow and will be closed Thursday for the New Year's Day holiday. Stocks do not show an early closing tomorrow but will also be closed Thursday. Don't' be surprised to see a bit of volatility in the bond market tomorrow while mortgage rates remain relatively flat (assuming weekly claims data is neutral). This is because many traders are likely to be home for another extended holiday weekend, leaving a reduced staff in the office.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.


Findo Financial Funding (NMLS # 146002; GRMA # 21547)

500 W. Lanier Avenue Building 600, Unit 605
Fayetteville, GA 30214